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Britain Set for Automotive Revolution
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Gordon Murray Design & Zytek Automotive Announce Electric City Car Programme
Motorists Would Slow Down To Save Planet
Liberty Electric Cars To Create 250 Manufacturing Jobs In North East England
Top 50% Of European Vehicles Now Average Only 130g/km Co2
Glass’s Highlights Battery Ownership Issues
The new breed of electric vehicles (EVs) soon to be launched in the UK will have residual values well
below those of rival petrol and diesel models, unless manufacturers properly address customer concerns
regarding battery life and performance. The warning comes from Glass’s, which has conducted a
detailed analysis of the factors that will affect depreciation for EVs. The company has been working
closely with three of the manufacturers who will produce cars featuring in the first wave of EV launches.
“After one year of ownership we would expect EV residual values to be above the segment average
expressed in terms of pound values,” explains Andy Carroll, Managing Director at Glass’s. “But, if the
battery is owned rather than leased, and lacks the appropriate extended warranty, the value of the typical
EV will then fall dramatically until the vehicle is five years old, at which point the car will have a trade
value little more than 10 per cent of the list price.”
This alarming rate of depreciation is, says Carroll, a function of customer recognition that the typical EV
battery will have a useful life of up to eight years and will cost some £8,000 to replace.
Manufacturers can however address this problem. Carroll cites the example of an EV in the lower-
medium segment. “If the anticipated £8,000 cost of the battery in such a car were taken off the list price,
and recovered instead through a long-term £100-per-month battery lease scheme, the retained value in
monetary terms would make it one of the best performing used cars in its segment, rather than one of
the worst.”
Through such an arrangement, any anxiety surrounding battery life would be dispelled, argues Carroll,
by ensuring that a guarantee of minimum battery performance is a feature of the lease agreement.
“Average New Car CO2 Falling Faster Than Ever”, says new JATO report
• Volume-weighted, average European new car CO2 emissions have fallen by almost 20g/km since
2003
• 2009 experienced greatest single-year reduction in CO2 emissions
• New technologies, taxation, recession, high fuel prices and scrappage all driving CO2 downward
• Current rate of reduction puts 2015 EU targets within reach, says JATO
Average European new car CO2 emissions are falling at a faster rate than ever before and are on
course to meet 2015 EU targets, according to JATO Dynamics.
Last year saw the greatest single-year decline in average CO2, as the urge to put cleaner cars on the
road was accelerated by the rich mix of customer demand for more fuel-efficient vehicles, the
introduction of CO2 based taxes in some markets and national scrappage schemes across Europe
favouring smaller, cleaner cars.
The volume-weighted European new car average is now 145.9 g/km, almost 20 g/km less than 2003,
when JATO began collating European CO2 emissions data. Furthermore, half of all new cars sold in the
21 countries analysed had official CO2 emissions of 140g/km or less, compared to only 23% in 2003.
Said David Di Girolamo, Head of JATO Consult: “The pace of improvement is remarkable and shows
just how rapidly the industry has reacted to environmental demands. In 2003, only 24% of the market
achieved an average of 130g/km. This was 40% by 2007, 51% in 2008 and 69% last year, already ahead
of the 2012 EU target. This achievement is even greater when set in the context of new cars becoming
larger, safer and better equipped, as consumer demands reach ever higher.”
According to JATO, the progress in CO2 emissions is due to three key factors:
1) Vehicle developments – including more efficient petrol and diesel engines, hybrid powertrains, more
sophisticated transmissions, low rolling-resistance tyres, improved attention to detail, aerodynamics,
stop-start technology and regenerative charging systems. Most manufactures now offer environmentally-
oriented specific versions, combining many of these features, although they can be found individually in
a wide range of models and segments.
This progress has been swift and while specific environmentally-oriented versions are a small proportion
of overall new car sales, many of the features they carry are filtering through to their ‘mainstream’
counterparts. This is a trend that will continue, as engines become smaller, lighter and more efficient.
2) Taxation – guiding demand towards these models and technologies are CO2-based purchase and/or
ownership taxes; in some countries these have been introduced in tandem with higher taxes on fuel.
Significant rises in fuel prices (due to global oil prices) continue to influence consumers’ choice of
vehicle.
3) Scrappage schemes – during late 2008 and 2009, scrappage schemes in a number of European
countries have benefitted the purchase of smaller, more efficient cars, in some cases with customers
directly incentivised towards cars with low CO2 emissions.
Even non-scrappage sales have seen a marked shift towards smaller cars, with the largest rise in B-
segment vehicles, an effect of recessionary pressure on family budgets pushing many customers across
Europe to consider fuel efficiency ahead of other factors, for the first time.
The net result is that volume-weighted average CO2 emissions of new cars in the 21 countries studied
fell from 165.3 g/km in 2003, to 153.7g/km in 2008. Through 2009, further progress brought the average
CO2 emissions of new cars down to 145.9g/km.
Di Girolamo continues: “The key point to note is that the rate of improvement has been increasing since
2007, through more low-CO2 technology and specific low-CO2 models on the road. Looking at year-on-
year trends, it appears that, if the current momentum can be maintained, 130g/km by 2015, as required
by the EU legislation, is achievable.”
The above data is extracted from the JATO Consult CO2 Report 2009, available now, via www.jato.com,
or consult@jato.com.
SMMT publishes Electric Car Guide for motorists
The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders has published the Electric Car Guide to help motorists
make more informed decisions when purchasing an electric vehicle. Presented in an easy to
understand Q&A-style format, the free of charge publication addresses some of the common queries
relating to electric vehicles including information about batteries, charging, vehicle performance, on-the-
road cost, government incentives and safety.
“Over the past decade, the pace of technological developments in the automotive industry has picked
up considerably as vehicle manufacturers focus on increasing the fuel efficiency of their vehicles and
cutting CO2 emissions,” said Paul Everitt, SMMT’s chief executive. “Our responsibility is therefore
greater than ever to guide motorists through the increasing range of choices they now face. It is
important they understand the benefits they can experience, equipping them with the best information
to make the right purchasing decision for their driving needs.”
Transport secretary, Philip Hammond, recently confirmed that the ‘Plug-In Car Grant’, designed to
stimulate demand for low carbon vehicles, will go ahead from January 2011.
Motorists will be entitled to a grant for up to 25% of the cost (capped at £5,000), when buying an
electric, plug-in hybrid or hydrogen fuel cell car, providing it meets safety, reliability, performance and
warranty standards set by the Office for Low Emissions Vehicles (OLEV) in consultation with industry.
The work of the Automotive Council aims to ensure the UK motor industry plays a significant role in the
development of exciting, low carbon transport solutions. Working to achieve this, the Automotive
Council will promote collaboration between industry, research communities and government to make
the UK the location of choice for the development, demonstration and marketing of low carbon vehicles
and fuels.
The Electric Car Guide, published by SMMT, can be downloaded here.
Nissan on the Charge
In a bid to persuade journalists about the green qualities of their latest cars, Nissan invited us to drive
four that in wildly different ways demonstrated how ‘charging’ was helping to deepen that green colour.
The Micra has been around for many years, and has profited greatly from the current demand for small
cars brought on by recession and the ever increasing taxation applied to thirstier motors. The new one
is known as the DIG-S, which stands for
Direct Injection Gasoline Supercharged,
which tells you just about all you need to
know. The supercharging of the 1.2-litre
engine obviously increases the power – to
98PS in fact – but not at the expense of fuel
economy, which is actually noticeably better
than the naturally aspirated version. That
amount of power in a wee Micra (3.78m
long) you’d think would be impressive, but in
truth it’s delivered in a fairly leisurely
manner, so you’re not inclined to run the
words ‘hot hatch’ through your mind as you
drive it. The real surprise is how refined it is,
for the Micra engines are blessed with no
more than three cylinders.
Nissan make the point that the official
consumption of the petrol-engined DIG-S is better than most diesels, and you’ve got a double whammy
here as you’re not having to pay the extra for buying and fuelling the thing, bearing in mind that
uniquely here in the UK diesel is dearer than petrol. The official figure is 65.7 or 68.9mpg (depending
on which model you go for), and though the computer on my short run in the car didn’t get to that level,
I did manage 54.5 with driving that was in no way noticeably economical, so careful use could possibly
achieve those bigger numbers. With CO2 emissions a remarkably low 95 or 98g/km, you’ve also of
course got VED of zero and no Congestion Charge either.
Price of the DIG-S runs from £11,150, which might sound a high base price for a small car, but it
compares well when you take that mpg figure into account. It actually costs £1,000 more than the
equivalent, non-supercharged version, but that’s less than the price premiums often charged for a
manufacturer’s equivalent diesel versions. As for the fuel, petrol currently averages around 4p per litre
less than diesel.
There’s one power source that’s getting the lion’s share of attention
at the moment, and that’s electricity. Hybrids multiply at a
phenomenal rate, but of late it’s been the pure electrics that have
been making the news. Such a one is Nissan’s LEAF, which to me
seems a winning demonstration of just how easy and pleasant to
drive these battery driven cars can be. Range is of course the all-
important factor here, and with 109-odd miles available from a full
charge (though not if you’re in a hurry), the LEAF demonstrates that
it will fill the needs of more than the shops-and-back driver.
Nissan refer to the acronymic LEAF (Leading Environmentally
friendly Affordable Family car) as a “zero-emissions” car, which is of course true only up to a point: the
point where the electricity is generated, which in our case is usually going to be a fossil-fuelled power
station. But out of the LEAF tailpipe comes nothing; indeed there is no tailpipe, nor exhaust system, nor
fuel tank, nor pump, nor injection system, nor a long list of other items that can all at times give us
problems. The electric motor is a thing of simplicity, and therefore fundamental reliability, and you can
charge the LEAF lithium-ion battery at home overnight, or at one of the fast-charging points (30 minutes
restores up to 80% of battery power) that are beginning to sprout along our highways. That latter
method won’t be as cheap as the home-sourced current, but might rescue you from the dead following
a miscalculation of journey length.
Nissan has teamed up with European utility and electrical vehicle supply equipment companies to both
speed the development of cheaper, smaller, quick chargers for electric vehicle batteries, and also to
accelerate the installation of publicly-available Quick Charge (QC) points across Europe.
This agreement between Nissan, Circutor, DBT, Efacec, Endesa and Siemens is expected to result in a
dramatic reduction in the price of the
units – by over half to under €10K –
paving the way for businesses such
as service stations, car park operators
and retail outlets to install quick
chargers and run them profitably as a
commercial enterprise. This will mean
Nissan LEAF drivers, and other quick
charge enabled vehicles, could use
their car for longer journeys and
recharge the car's battery in around
half an hour to that 80% capacity.
As a result, Nissan is confident that
there will be thousands of QCs across
Europe by the end of 2012, and tens
of thousands by 2015. When that
comes to pass, it will certainly open
up Nissan LEAF ownership to a whole
new spectrum of buyers who
occasionally need to do longer journeys
The LEAF is certainly easy to drive: no gears to worry you, and plenty of power (108PS) with torque
equivalent to a 2.5-litre V6 petrol engine. Room on board this 4.45m car is impressive both front and
rear, and there’s plenty of luggage space too (330 to 680 litres). Ride is fairly soft, but handling still
impressive thanks to the low centre of gravity (batteries being mostly under the floor).
I really liked the LEAF. At £25,990 it’s not cheap to buy, and bear in mind the price given here is after
the £5,000 government grant, but global research indicates that the average daily mileage for 80% of
the world's population is under 60 miles. The figure in the UK is under 30 miles, so a LEAF, possibly as
a first car, but certainly as a second, would do the business comfortably.
Nissan brought along two other cars for us to try, and these too utilised ‘charging’ to a greater or lesser
degree. The Juke they had for us was the 1.6-litre petrol model, so a real ‘cooking motor’ you’d think,
but you’d be very wrong. Take a look at Motorsville’s review of the Juke a few months back (Feb 2011),
and you’ll read of a charismatic motor that in most respects is enjoyable to drive and own. However, the
lowlier of the two 1.6 petrol engines that we tested then drew hefty criticism on account of the low
gearing (a fault that Nissan is now seeing to). Unsurprisingly therefore, the fuel economy of that car –
an official 44.1mpg at the time – was little better than the more powerful 1.6 DIG-T that we tried on this
occasion.
When I say ‘more powerful’ that massively understates the difference; the DIG-T actually develops
190PS against 117 for the lesser model. That’s an astonishing amount of power from a 1.6, and it feels
as impressive as it sounds. Consumption on the combined cycle for this one is 40.9mpg, which
illustrates the benefit of a small engine with hefty turbocharging. Most manufacturers will opt for the
large engined solution when seeking power of this size, but that route will require at least a 2.2-litre
engine and probably a 2.4 to match the Juke’s output, with fuel economy that’s likely to be in the low
thirties. So looked at objectively – and whilst accepting that 190PS certainly ain’t a necessity in
everyday motoring life – ‘charging’ again makes good green sense.
Filing Nissan’s final car of the four – the GT-R – in the Green News pages is akin to putting a crocodile
in the goldfish tank, but it does illustrate that even ultimate sports machinery is getting a touch less
thirsty.
If the Juke is impressive, the GT-R is uniquely so. No other production car manages this performance
and output. Yes, there are cars with more than the GT-R’s 530PS, but not that many, and those there
are have price tags even more alarming than the Nissan’s £72,000 or so. The GT-R’s 0-60 time is the
lowest of any production car; the figure a remarkable 3.0 seconds. More importantly here, the GT-R’s
consumption of 23.5mpg, whilst hardly in the green room, is vastly better than those few cars with more
power. A Ferrari 612 Scaglietti for instance pushes out 539PS, but the consumption is a wallet- and
planet-worrying 13.8mpg.
Peter Cracknell – Sept 2011